Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 4.061302 4.381062 4.724295 5.121890 5.572017 6.068468 6.661111
2025-03-23 3.590767 4.045924 4.568553 5.220622 6.023395 6.994565 8.282778
2025-03-30 3.198020 3.700651 4.302554 5.090599 6.117522 7.444518 9.350847
2025-04-06 2.909880 3.433256 4.079762 4.957744 6.153980 7.784892 10.292585
2025-04-13 2.683314 3.214598 3.887238 4.828204 6.158598 8.057681 11.160223
2025-04-20 2.528521 3.071223 3.773931 4.784413 6.264201 8.473428 12.311494
2025-04-27 2.450090 3.018856 3.772837 4.889345 6.588247 9.255445 14.234317
2025-05-04 2.387875 2.981583 3.786169 5.011458 6.946929 10.143352 16.579118
2025-05-11 2.293387 2.892786 3.718955 5.004917 7.097631 10.700016 18.437575
2025-05-18 2.216639 2.823129 3.672758 5.023639 7.287754 11.352608 20.700669
2025-05-25 2.099187 2.689301 3.524235 4.869296 7.165686 11.400945 21.591563
2025-06-01 1.997465 2.572968 3.394787 4.735130 7.063905 11.471706 22.563188
2025-06-08 1.917213 2.489041 3.316594 4.690766 7.140957 11.963376 24.976217
2025-06-15 1.875751 2.460406 3.321572 4.786356 7.491881 13.116375 29.941127
2025-06-22 1.788736 2.359634 3.208806 4.672814 7.431895 13.354522 32.231805
2025-06-29 1.708170 2.264599 3.099403 4.555959 7.350996 13.528945 34.440381
2025-07-06 1.634460 2.176558 2.996172 4.441787 7.261971 13.667339 36.640975
2025-07-13 1.582324 2.118940 2.938197 4.403147 7.322147 14.191656 40.849846
2025-07-20 1.560852 2.107067 2.952793 4.495700 7.668073 15.549070 50.299300
2025-07-27 1.543359 2.100270 2.974836 4.603250 8.062246 17.168646 63.763043
2025-08-03 1.505552 2.059835 2.938563 4.597494 8.201177 18.086810 74.782454
2025-08-10 1.474071 2.028035 2.914984 4.613970 8.393997 19.240820 90.408883
2025-08-17 1.417667 1.954419 2.816936 4.478026 8.206861 19.091395 94.478073